Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.782067 4.057530 4.351266 4.689165 5.068852 5.484334 5.976138
2025-04-27 3.386595 3.783966 4.235609 4.792869 5.470421 6.278986 7.335018
2025-05-04 3.143453 3.610744 4.165885 4.886414 5.816260 7.005040 8.692078
2025-05-11 2.920844 3.422885 4.039015 4.869928 5.993415 7.512681 9.827695
2025-05-18 2.731222 3.251382 3.906436 4.817763 6.098879 7.917253 10.871499
2025-05-25 2.544698 3.065710 3.734936 4.688852 6.072103 8.114947 11.620095
2025-06-01 2.400952 2.923558 3.606884 4.602745 6.089165 8.369117 12.497805
2025-06-08 2.309170 2.842613 3.552997 4.612549 6.243408 8.850368 13.867917
2025-06-15 2.246325 2.795409 3.540167 4.677480 6.484770 9.503705 15.720644
2025-06-22 2.121789 2.656351 3.388863 4.522444 6.357015 9.501454 16.247456
2025-06-29 2.023725 2.549019 3.276343 4.417312 6.299110 9.613104 17.044567
2025-07-06 1.939828 2.457414 3.181159 4.331394 6.263543 9.758196 17.953694
2025-07-13 1.868469 2.383271 3.111660 4.287635 6.307789 10.085119 19.468887
2025-07-20 1.837676 2.366005 3.125737 4.379433 6.602404 10.964067 22.788025
2025-07-27 1.806383 2.345997 3.133791 4.461016 6.887472 11.882034 26.723511
2025-08-03 1.754233 2.292612 3.087297 4.446683 6.989398 12.419103 29.794618
2025-08-10 1.698706 2.231663 3.025605 4.401265 7.025128 12.810443 32.616542
2025-08-17 1.631809 2.151049 2.929197 4.288876 6.915960 12.834481 34.072266
2025-08-24 1.577365 2.087241 2.856542 4.213685 6.875006 13.022841 36.366051
2025-08-31 1.544366 2.054656 2.832008 4.222251 7.007523 13.683802 41.339159
2025-09-07 1.523300 2.039342 2.834273 4.278952 7.247987 14.692614 49.216692
2025-09-14 1.464607 1.963970 2.735458 4.143475 7.056860 14.451613 49.859101
2025-09-21 1.417481 1.905229 2.661941 4.051425 6.954829 14.456739 52.139392